Battery Thermal Runaway: Cell Spacing and Barrier Margin

Compare neighbor heating from one failing cylindrical cell. Screen heat-release fractions, cell spacing, cooling and effective barrier transmission with an animated thermal network.

#18650 cells #cell spacing #heat release #thermal barriers #thermal network #thermal runaway

This battery thermal runaway propagation calculator screens how heat from one failing cylindrical cell can reach one identical neighboring cell. It connects cell spacing, total heat release, cooling, direct vent exposure and an effective thermal barrier setting. Engineers can use it to compare concepts before detailed modeling; students can inspect the thermal network and its energy balance.

Start with the actual cell diameter, length, mass and effective heat capacity. Enter heat release from calorimetry at the relevant state of charge and abuse condition. Electrical capacity in watt-hours is not the same as runaway heat release. Divide the event energy into a donor-body fraction, a fraction deposited directly in the neighbor, and the remainder that leaves this two-cell model. The body fraction must be at least the direct-neighbor fraction. Choose exponential release for an event with a finite timescale, or instantaneous deposition for a rapid-pulse limit.

Spacing changes the estimated gas conduction and the long-cylinder radiation view factor. Radiation uses a blackbody slope bound at the donor’s adiabatic upper temperature. This deliberately produces stronger coupling than direct nonlinear radiation within the stated two-cell assumptions. Cooling is represented by the same constant conductance from each cell to an unchanged ambient reservoir. Use the lowest credible cooling conductance for a conservative comparison.

The barrier control is effective covered-path transmission, a conductance ratio between zero and one. Obtain it from hot-condition tests or a suitable detailed thermal model, including reradiation, seams and installation details. It is not optical transparency, and it cannot be inferred from room-temperature material conductivity alone. Tab and holder bridges bypass this control. Direct vent and ejecta deposition also remains unchanged, so a perfect covered-path barrier can still exceed the heat budget.

Read the total heat received, heat-budget margin and peak neighbor temperature together. The maximum transmission result identifies the setting permitted by the heat budget; if bypass paths already exceed that budget, no transmission setting can meet it. The logarithmic temperature and heat-history charts retain rapid release, intercell redistribution and the cooling tail. A separate linear early-time chart includes the initial state and calculated peak points. The spacing chart exposes the remaining bypass floor, and play animates a selected moment. Total heat results integrate the complete event, including the cooling tail.

The default energy, mass, heat capacity and screening thresholds come from different published 18650 studies. The transfer fractions, cooling, gap conductivity and barrier ratio are explicit illustrative assumptions, not a calibrated module dataset. Tang et al.’s 3 kJ and 124 °C values describe HG2 voltage failure during slow ARC heating, not a universal runaway trigger.

This tool does not resolve cell-core gradients, self-heating reactions, ignition, pressure, enclosure reflections, flame chemistry, electrical fault currents, multiple failing neighbors or barrier damage. It does not predict an actual propagation time or establish a universally safe cell spacing. Confirm promising layouts with cell-specific abuse testing and a validated module model.

How it is calculated

A derived symmetric two-node thermal network represents one donor and one identical neighbor. Each has C=mcpC=mc_p and cooling conductance GsG_s. Exponential release is P(t)=Qexp⁡(−t/tr)/trP(t)=Q\exp(-t/t_r)/t_r; the instantaneous option deposits the allocated energies at t=0t=0. The donor receives Qb=fbQQ_b=f_bQ and the neighbor directly receives Qj=fjQQ_j=f_jQ. The rest leaves the model.

For equal long cylinders, X=1+g/DX=1+g/D and F12=[X2−1+arcsin⁡(1/X)−X]/πF_{12}=[\sqrt{X^2-1}+\arcsin(1/X)-X]/\pi (Zhang et al. 2023, Eq. 5, attached p. 6; also F-Chart EES). With As=πDLA_s=\pi DL and Ap=DLA_p=DL, gas conductance is kgAp/gk_gA_p/g. The donor adiabatic bound is Tb=Ta+Qb/CT_b=T_a+Q_b/C in kelvin. Since fb≥fjf_b\ge f_j, neither node exceeds this bound. The mean-value theorem gives σ(Td4−Tn4)≤4σTb3(Td−Tn)\sigma(T_d^4-T_n^4)\le4\sigma T_b^3(T_d-T_n). Thus Gr=4σTb3AsF12G_r=4\sigma T_b^3 A_sF_{12} bounds direct blackbody exchange. Finite-end losses and radiation to ambient are not added.

The selected pair conductance is G=η(Gg+Gr)+GbridgeG=\eta(G_g+G_r)+G_{bridge}. The barrier is a measured effective transmission ratio, including reradiation. Let S=θd+θnS=\theta_d+\theta_n and Dθ=θd−θnD_\theta=\theta_d-\theta_n. Their decay rates are a=Gs/Ca=G_s/C and b=(Gs+2G)/Cb=(G_s+2G)/C. For exponential release, H(r,t)=[e−t/tr−e−rt]/(rtr−1)H(r,t)=[e^{-t/t_r}-e^{-rt}]/(rt_r-1), with its continuous limit when rtr=1rt_r=1. Then S=(Qb+Qj)H(a,t)/CS=(Q_b+Q_j)H(a,t)/C, Dθ=(Qb−Qj)H(b,t)/CD_\theta=(Q_b-Q_j)H(b,t)/C, and θn=(S−Dθ)/2\theta_n=(S-D_\theta)/2. Instantaneous release uses H=e−rtH=e^{-rt}.

Integrating the full event gives Qin=Qj+G(Qb−Qj)/(Gs+2G)Q_{in}=Q_j+G(Q_b-Q_j)/(G_s+2G). The heat margin is Qcrit−QinQ_{crit}-Q_{in}; the peak temperature is found by a scalar search of the analytic transient. Maximum transmission is the inverted heat-budget equation, clipped to 0–1; the separate bypass test identifies infeasibility. Energy conservation is checked over the full event. These network equations and the radiation envelope are derived here, not a reproduction of the cited papers’ chemical or FEM models.

For stable numerical evaluation, the finite-release response uses H=(t/tr)e−min⁡(r,1/tr)tE(∣r−1/tr∣t)H=(t/t_r)e^{-\min(r,1/t_r)t}E(|r-1/t_r|t), where E(z)=−expm1⁡(−z)/zE(z)=-\operatorname{expm1}(-z)/z and E(0)=1E(0)=1. This retains unequal rates even arbitrarily close to equality. The integral follows the exact identity r∫0tH dt=1−e−t/tr−Hr\int_0^t H\,dt=1-e^{-t/t_r}-H, with the released fraction also evaluated using expm1.

Overview charts use a positive logarithmic time grid spanning the fastest release/redistribution timescale to the cooling tail. Physical timescales and calculated donor and neighbor peak points are inserted explicitly. The separate linear onset chart includes t=0t=0, including the instantaneous-deposition initial state. Plot resolution is therefore independent of the ratio between release and ambient-cooling timescales.

Assumptions

Two identical lumped cells begin at ambient; constant mass, heat capacity and equal cooling conductance. The neighbor has no chemical heat generation. Long, parallel cylinders exchange direct radiation as black surfaces; gas conduction uses a planar projected-area approximation. The barrier changes only the covered gas/radiation path, while cooling, bridges and direct deposition stay fixed. The source fractions sum to at most one and donor-body deposition is no smaller than direct neighbor deposition.

Published defaults: NASA 2020 attached p. 25 reports a 59.7 kJ mean for Samsung 18650-30Q; Tang et al. Table 1 gives HG2 mass 46.9 g; Zhang et al. Table 1 gives representative specific heat 1000 J/(kg·K). Tang et al. report about 3 kJ external heat and 124 °C voltage-failure temperature for HG2. These are different experiments and cell types. The default fractions 0.30 and 0.01, 0.05 W/(m·K) gap conductivity, 0.01 W/K bridge, 0.2 W/K cooling and 0.15 transmission are analyst assumptions, not measured catalogue data. Replace them with applicable measurements.

Where it applies

A comparative external-heating screen, not a prediction that propagation will or will not occur. Positive margins refer only to the entered heat budget and temperature. The radiation envelope is conservative for this symmetric network with the stated unchanged cooling and direct-exchange assumptions; it does not bound omitted chemistry, flames, enclosure reflection, electrical heating or damage to a barrier.

Tang et al.’s voltage-failure heat and temperature were measured under slow, nearly uniform ARC heating at 100% SOC. Their Table 2 distinguishes voltage failure from later runaway: HG2 failure was 124 °C, while its peak runaway temperature was 805 °C. Do not transfer these criteria unchanged to a rapid local jet, another cell chemistry, SOC, age or format. The animation shows the thermal network response; its time is not an escape or intervention window.

Effective barrier transmission must include hot-face reradiation, assembly details and the event duration of interest. A value of zero for maximum permitted transmission can mean that bypass exposure is already too large; read the budget comparison. Retest cooling after adding insulation, since a real barrier can also reduce normal heat rejection. The reference cases validate the cylinder view factor and an independent cooling limit, not actual runaway propagation.

References

  • Zhang, L. et al. (2023). Radiation-Induced Thermal Runaway Propagation in a Cylindrical Li-Ion Battery Pack. Applied Sciences 13, 8229, Eq. 5 and Table 1. https://doi.org/10.3390/app13148229
  • Tang, W. et al. (2020). Estimation of the critical external heat leading to the failure of lithium-ion batteries. Applied Thermal Engineering 179, 115665. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2020.115665 — open manuscript: https://tsapps.nist.gov/publication/get_pdf.cfm?pub_id=930032
  • NASA (2020). Fractional thermal runaway calorimetry, presentation p. 25: heat-release statistics. https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20200003008/downloads/20200003008.pdf
  • F-Chart Software, EES Heat Transfer Library, F2D_4: infinite cylinder to identical cylinder, worked example F = 0.07198. https://fchartsoftware.com/ees/heat_transfer_library/shape_factors/hs104.htm
  • Forrest, B. and Forrest, B. (2021). University of Waterloo Calculus 2, Section 4.7, Example 15, printed p. 151 (attached p. 161): Newton cooling. https://www.math.uwaterloo.ca/~baforres/UCM138/CourseNotes/Forrest_M138CN_F21.pdf
  • Lee, C., Said, A. O. and Stoliarov, S. I. (2020). Passive Mitigation of Thermal Runaway Propagation in Dense 18650 Lithium Ion Cell Assemblies. Journal of The Electrochemical Society 167, 090524. https://doi.org/10.1149/1945-7111/ab8978 — experiments show bypass heating and barrier limitations.

Inputs

InputSymbolUnitDefault
Cell diameter
Two identical parallel cylindrical cells; end effects are omitted.
Dmm18
Cell length
The radiation view factor assumes cylinders long compared with diameter.
L_cellmm65
Surface-to-surface spacing
Clear spacing between cell cans, not center-to-center pitch.
g_cellmm2
Mass of each cell
Default: Tang et al., Table 1, NMC 18650 HG2. Replace for your cell.
m_cellg46.9
Effective specific heat
Zhang et al., Table 1. Constant effective value; excludes self-heating chemistry.
cp_cellJ/(kg*K)1000
Total event heat release
NASA 2020, p. 25: mean for Samsung 18650-30Q. This is not the electrical Wh rating.
Q_relkJ59.7
Fraction heating donor body
Illustrative 0.30, not a measured value for the default cell. Use fractional calorimetry.
f_body0.3
Fraction deposited directly in neighbor
Illustrative 0.01 of total event heat. Includes flames, ejecta and other direct deposition; unaffected by the barrier setting.
f_jet0.01
Heat-release profile
Exponential power integrates to the entered event heat. Instantaneous deposition is the short-pulse limit.
releaseExponential release
Release time constant
63.2% of the event energy is released in one time constant.
t_rels20
Effective gap conductivity
Illustrative hot-gap value. The planar gas conduction approximation uses projected area D × length.
k_gapW/(m*K)0.05
Bridge conductance between cells
Illustrative allowance for tabs, holders and edge paths that bypass the barrier.
G_bridgeW/K0.01
Conductance from each cell to ambient
Same fixed cooling conductance for both cells, with and without barrier. Include mounting and cooling; measure for the module.
G_sinkW/K0.2
Intercell barrierbarrierUse measured effective transmission
Effective covered-path transmission
Illustrative 0.15. Ratio of covered gas/radiation conductance to uncovered conductance under hot-event conditions. Includes reradiation; not optical transparency.
eta_b0.15
Initial and ambient temperature
Both cells start at this temperature.
T_amb°C25
Neighbor screening temperature
Tang et al., Table 2: voltage-failure temperature of NMC HG2 in slow ARC heating. Not a universal runaway onset.
T_limit°C124
External heat screening budget
Tang et al.: about 3 kJ to NMC HG2 voltage failure under slow ARC heating. Use a budget measured for your heating mode.
Q_critkJ3
Event time
Press play to follow heat release, transfer and cooling.
t_views120

Results

With the default inputs above, the calc gives:

ResultValue
External heat budget comparisonWithin external heat budget
Neighbor external heat, full event2.073 kJ
Remaining external heat budget0.9268 kJ
Neighbor heat without barrier4.455 kJ
Peak neighbor temperature43.6 °C
Temperature margin80.4 K
Maximum transmission for heat budget0.404
Transmission headroom0.254
Heat received through bypass paths alone1.384 kJ
Time of predicted neighbor peak159.7 s

Checked against sources

Each case below was calculated by this calc and agrees with the value from its source (within the tolerance where one is shown).

Published parallel-cylinder geometry example

Source: F-Chart Software EES F2D_4 worked example: radius 0.2 m, closest surface spacing 0.5 m, F = 0.07198. https://fchartsoftware.com/ees/heat_transfer_library/shape_factors/hs104.htm . This validates the long-cylinder geometry kernel; it is not a finite-length cell experiment.

Inputs: Cell diameter = 400 mm; Surface-to-surface spacing = 500 mm; the others as above.

ResultSourceThis calc
Long-cylinder radiation view factor0.071980.07198

Independent Newton-cooling limit of equal nodes

Source: University of Waterloo Calculus 2, Section 4.7 Example 15, printed p. 151 / attached p. 161. With equal instantaneous energy in both nodes, intercell transfer vanishes. Equivalent thermal capacitance 46.9 J/K, each initial rise 80 K, ambient 20 °C, and published rounded cooling rate 0.047 per minute give the published 25-minute temperature 44.71 °C. Checks the full transient and time conversion in a cooling-only limit, not battery propagation.

Inputs: Heat-release profile = Instantaneous deposition; Total event heat release = 7.504 kJ; Fraction heating donor body = 0.5; Fraction deposited directly in neighbor = 0.5; Initial and ambient temperature = 20 °C; Conductance from each cell to ambient = 0.03674 W/K; Event time = 1,500 s; the others as above.

ResultSourceThis calc
Neighbor temperature at animation time44.71 °C44.706 °C
Donor temperature at animation time44.71 °C44.706 °C

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